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  3. Risikovurdering

The Art of Uncertainty

- How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Af: David Spiegelhalter Engelsk Hardback

The Art of Uncertainty

- How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Af: David Spiegelhalter Engelsk Hardback
Tjek vores konkurrenters priser

‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician’ Telegraph

From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty

We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?

David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.

In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.

Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

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‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician’ Telegraph

From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty

We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?

David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.

In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.

Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

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Se mere i:
Produktdetaljer
Sprog: Engelsk
Sider: 512
ISBN-13: 9780241658628
Indbinding: Hardback
Udgave:
ISBN-10: 0241658624
Kategori: Risikovurdering
Udg. Dato: 19 sep 2024
Længde: 48mm
Bredde: 146mm
Højde: 223mm
Forlag: Penguin Books Ltd
Oplagsdato: 19 sep 2024
Forfatter(e): David Spiegelhalter
Forfatter(e) David Spiegelhalter

Kategori Risikovurdering

ISBN-13 9780241658628

Sprog Engelsk

Indbinding Hardback

Sider 512

Udgave

Længde 48mm

Bredde 146mm

Højde 223mm

Udg. Dato 19 sep 2024

Oplagsdato 19 sep 2024

Forlag Penguin Books Ltd

Kategori sammenhænge