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The Signal and the Noise

- The Art and Science of Prediction
Af: Nate Silver Engelsk Paperback

The Signal and the Noise

- The Art and Science of Prediction
Af: Nate Silver Engelsk Paperback
Tjek vores konkurrenters priser

The International Bestseller by ''The Galileo of number crunchers'' (Independent)

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of ''big data'' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting.

In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider''s tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data.

''Remarkable and rewarding'' Matthew D''Ancona, Sunday Telegraph

''A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically'' Guardian

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Tjek vores konkurrenters priser

The International Bestseller by ''The Galileo of number crunchers'' (Independent)

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of ''big data'' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting.

In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider''s tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data.

''Remarkable and rewarding'' Matthew D''Ancona, Sunday Telegraph

''A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically'' Guardian

Produktdetaljer
Sprog: Engelsk
Sider: 544
ISBN-13: 9780141975658
Indbinding: Paperback
Udgave:
ISBN-10: 0141975652
Udg. Dato: 18 apr 2013
Længde: 29mm
Bredde: 130mm
Højde: 197mm
Forlag: Penguin Books Ltd
Oplagsdato: 18 apr 2013
Forfatter(e): Nate Silver
Forfatter(e) Nate Silver


Kategori Sandsynlighedsregning og statistik


ISBN-13 9780141975658


Sprog Engelsk


Indbinding Paperback


Sider 544


Udgave


Længde 29mm


Bredde 130mm


Højde 197mm


Udg. Dato 18 apr 2013


Oplagsdato 18 apr 2013


Forlag Penguin Books Ltd