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Exchange Rate, Second Round Effects and Inflation Processes

- Evidence From South Africa

Exchange Rate, Second Round Effects and Inflation Processes

- Evidence From South Africa
Tjek vores konkurrenters priser

This book focuses on the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT), second round effects and the inflation process in South Africa. The authors demonstrate that magnitudes of the second round effects of the exchange rate depreciation and oil price shocks depend on inflation regimes. The impact of positive oil price shocks on inflation is weakened by monetary policy credibility. Evidence shows the influence of oil price on unit labour costs and correlation between exchange rate changes and inflation has weakened. In addition, ERPT is reduced by low business and consumer confidence, high trade openness, low inflation and high exchange rate volatility which weaken real economic activity. Both monetary and fiscal policy credibility lowers the sizes of ERPT to inflation and inflation expectations. Fiscal policy via fuel levies, administered prices and public transport inflation channel impacts the responses of monetary policy to inflation shocks. The authors show that second round effects contribute very little to wage inflation following an exchange rate depreciation shock. Both lending rate and household consumption responds asymmetrical to repo rate changes. 

This book will appeal to policymakers, students, academics and analysts.


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This book focuses on the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT), second round effects and the inflation process in South Africa. The authors demonstrate that magnitudes of the second round effects of the exchange rate depreciation and oil price shocks depend on inflation regimes. The impact of positive oil price shocks on inflation is weakened by monetary policy credibility. Evidence shows the influence of oil price on unit labour costs and correlation between exchange rate changes and inflation has weakened. In addition, ERPT is reduced by low business and consumer confidence, high trade openness, low inflation and high exchange rate volatility which weaken real economic activity. Both monetary and fiscal policy credibility lowers the sizes of ERPT to inflation and inflation expectations. Fiscal policy via fuel levies, administered prices and public transport inflation channel impacts the responses of monetary policy to inflation shocks. The authors show that second round effects contribute very little to wage inflation following an exchange rate depreciation shock. Both lending rate and household consumption responds asymmetrical to repo rate changes. 

This book will appeal to policymakers, students, academics and analysts.


Produktdetaljer
Sprog: Engelsk
Sider: 416
ISBN-13: 9783030139315
Indbinding: Hardback
Udgave:
ISBN-10: 303013931X
Udg. Dato: 8 maj 2019
Længde: 0mm
Bredde: 148mm
Højde: 210mm
Forlag: Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Oplagsdato: 8 maj 2019
Forfatter(e) Eliphas Ndou, Mthokozisi Mncedisi Tshuma, Nombulelo Gumata


Kategori Offentlig økonomi og beskatning


ISBN-13 9783030139315


Sprog Engelsk


Indbinding Hardback


Sider 416


Udgave


Længde 0mm


Bredde 148mm


Højde 210mm


Udg. Dato 8 maj 2019


Oplagsdato 8 maj 2019


Forlag Springer Nature Switzerland AG

Kategori sammenhænge