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Lost in a Gallup

- Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections
Af: W. Joseph Campbell Engelsk Paperback

Lost in a Gallup

- Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections
Af: W. Joseph Campbell Engelsk Paperback
Tjek vores konkurrenters priser
This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. "W. Joseph Campbell's work always opens my eyes, challenging assumptions the world has turned into facts. Whenever I get a chance to read Campbell's work, I seize it."—Jake Tapper, CNN anchorLost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024.  As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
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This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. "W. Joseph Campbell's work always opens my eyes, challenging assumptions the world has turned into facts. Whenever I get a chance to read Campbell's work, I seize it."—Jake Tapper, CNN anchorLost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024.  As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
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Produktdetaljer
Sprog: Engelsk
Sider: 368
ISBN-13: 9780520397781
Indbinding: Paperback
Udgave:
ISBN-10: 0520397789
Kategori: Amerikansk historie
Udg. Dato: 20 feb 2024
Længde: 26mm
Bredde: 229mm
Højde: 152mm
Forlag: University of California Press
Oplagsdato: 20 feb 2024
Forfatter(e): W. Joseph Campbell
Forfatter(e) W. Joseph Campbell

Kategori Amerikansk historie

ISBN-13 9780520397781

Sprog Engelsk

Indbinding Paperback

Sider 368

Udgave

Længde 26mm

Bredde 229mm

Højde 152mm

Udg. Dato 20 feb 2024

Oplagsdato 20 feb 2024

Forlag University of California Press